Some players just hit their stride at the perfect time. Week 15 gives us a handful of players who are heating up right as the matchups open the door. The numbers are friendly. The usage is trending in the right direction. And the lines give us enough room to attack. Let’s dive into the plays that stand out.
TreVeyon Henderson – 50-Plus Rushing Yards (+105)
This number feels light. Henderson has topped 50 rushing yards in five of his last six games. And yes, most of that came without Rhamondre Stevenson, but last week Stevenson returned and Henderson still ripped off 11 carries for 67 yards. Buffalo has been hammered on the ground and is one of only three defenses allowing more than 5.0 yards per carry to running backs. This is a green light spot.
Omarion Hampton – Anytime TD (+160)
Hampton came off IR last week and wasted no time getting back on the board, scoring as a receiver. He will split snaps with Kimani Vidal, but Hampton brings the size and build you want near the goal line. Kansas City stops the run well but has been oddly leaky at the goal line with five running back touchdowns allowed over its last four games. They just gave one up to Woody Marks and another to Dare Ogunbowale. Hampton is in the mix to punch one in.
Quinshon Judkins – Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
Cleveland is running out of bodies at running back. Dylan Sampson is out and Jerome Ford is on IR, which forces Judkins into a bigger passing game role by necessity. He has only four catches across his last four games, but he has smashed this receiving line in his last two with outings of 58 and 18 yards. He should be active again with the Browns down to the studs in the backfield.
Jameson Williams – Over 4.5 Receptions (+120)
Williams has grown from deep-shot specialist into a legit chain mover. Since the Lions’ bye, he has shifted to a 10.1 air yards per target profile, almost five yards lower than earlier in the season. The short and intermediate work is coming his way, and it shows with seven catches in two straight games. The Rams aren’t a soft matchup, but this game projects to have plenty of points. And Michael Wilson just caught 11 balls against them. Williams should stay heavily involved.
Week 15 gives us players in great form and great spots to attack. Follow the usage. Follow the matchups. And let’s keep rolling.
Track Every Pick in Real Time
This article is just the start. FTN subscribers can:
- Follow along in Discord for live plays and betting discussions.
- Access the Bet Tracker for every expert pick.
- Compare lines across the Prop Shop and Parlay Odds Shop.
FTN’s NFL Betting Resources
- NFL Simulation Model
- NFL Prop Tool
- DVOA Game Projections
- Bet Tracker with Expert Picks
- Jeff Ratcliffe’s Player Props
- NFL Same Game Parlay Tool
- DVOA Rankings
- Prop Shop
- Parlay Odds Shop
- NFL Odds
Final Thoughts
NFL betting is about finding small edges that add up over the course of the season. FTN’s Bet of the Week is just one example of the actionable insights our model delivers. Lock in this week’s best bet, and check back every week for the next free NFL best play.
About the Author
