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IMF upgrades 2026 growth forecast but warns of ‘split’ outlook

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday forecast that global growth in 2026 would slow less than previously expected due to advanced economies’ “resilience” in the face of war-fuelled energy prices, but warned that low-income countries remained vulnerable to the supply shock.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) released at the organization’s Annual Meetings in Bangkok, the Fund raised its 2026 global growth forecast by 0.1 percentage points to 3.1 percent, compared to 3.5 percent growth in 2025.

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